Richard Fernandez had a post on Facebook in which he talked of the Canadian Truck Standoff as the beginning of a global preference cascade.

It might be. Maybe.

I’ll be honest, turning against the Marxist forms of government that have possessed (I speak advisedly) most of the countries of the world has been going on for a long time. But the powers that be, most of them Marxist and running a script, have managed to tamp down all previous outbreaks of rebellion, show them as something they were not, or just turn the cone of silence on them, until no one knew they were happening.

Of course that “hold” is weakening. The fact so many people voted for Trump (either time) despite the ongoing media blitz against him tell you there are cracks in the dam. And the Canadian truckers are a great big crack.

And one hopes. One hopes. One can’t help hoping.

Yes, preference cascades can get ugly — hello Romania! — but as ugly as they get they are possibly the lowest butcher bill we’re facing. A preference cascade would get the world off the path to crazy totalitarianism and maybe rescue the future while there’s still time. There would be — I won’t lie — a few ugly years. The crazy people have already corrupted so much of what makes an economy, let alone a society, actually work, but there is a good chance we could keep civilization and technology on the other side. And even — deep breath — our national identity. Oh, other countries would keep theirs too, but I care less for other countries even if these days I have a warm spot for truckers from Canada.

Preference cascades happen when people have been falsifying their preferences for years. They’ve in other words been lying about who they are, what they want, what they believe.

For my entire life — and again I’d like to point out I turn sixty this year — this has been necessary. One had — and many people still have to — fake being at the very least soft left, or be considered stupid, fringe and unacceptable, not to mention uncaring and evil. In both countries, while the left railed at all the “right wingers in power” or the power of the church, or the power of traditional family, everyone in control of whether you got a degree, or a job, or were considered a decent human being was either leftist, or pretending very hard to be leftist.

I broke, now going on fifteen years ago. I couldn’t take it anymore. I felt as if I were losing my soul. I could only pretend to the softest of soft left and it wasn’t enough.

To get ahead in my career, or go anywhere I had to loudly proclaim ideals that were not only wrong and repulsive, but which had put 100 million human beings in their graves. I could not do it.

I started to experience the feeling that I was self-hypnotizing into accepting these repulsive beliefs. The process is described here. (Warning the author typoes like me pre-coffee, but his ideas are brilliant.)

If you’re forced to repeat things you don’t believe in, after a while you start believing them and defending them.

For almost a century we’ve all parroted these leftist ideas, because leftists were so convinced their ideas were the way to paradise that they were willing to destroy you for dissenting. Granted, in western countries, most of the destruction is social or economic. All the same it has amused me as everyone became aware of “cancelling” because — oh, dear — it’s been going on for decades. DECADES. As in my entire life.

Now it’s changing. Here and there the dissent erupts loudly and visibly, like right now. In most cases, because the pablum you’re forced to spew is creating conditions you can no longer endure.

And it’s erupting sneakily everywhere: witness, let’s go Brandon.

Like Wretchard, I hope we’re close to the tipping point, if not already there.

And I reflect on the wisdom of Jordan Peterson: Tell the truth, or at least don’t lie.

The lies our parents were forced to tell or told to be part of the ‘smart and enlightened’ set imprisoned my generation. And led us to a state where people who actively hate civilization and western civilization particularly are in control.

Their control is weakening. When the flip comes, it will be very fast — keep your clothes and weapons where you can find them in the dark and have an away point retreat in case of need — and probably will take even us by surprise.

But it will be the restoration of truth. No more falsification. No more creation of a whole fake reality.

The truth isn’t perfect or seamless, and so appeals less to ‘intellectuals’ than the honeyed lie.

But you can live in truth. The lies always kill.

ADDENDUM: If you can’t tell the truth, for reasons of job, for reasons of family, for reasons of safety, I understand. I lived like that for years.
But do yourself a favor: Tell yourself the truth. Outloud. In front of the mirror. Whisper at first, if it’s too scary. Remember who you are and reclaim your soul. So you’re ready for the preference cascade.


  1. Fear is a liar. And liars use fear to enslave others. Don’t let them catch us. Even if they’re going to kill us, let’s die on our feet. Let’s face the cowards every time, too. They may or may not run away every time; but all our wounds will be in front. And that will inspire our brothers and sisters still on the fence.

    The Lord bless you and watch, guard, and keep you;
    The Lord make His face to shine upon and enlighten you and be gracious (kind, merciful, and giving favor) to you;
    The Lord lift up His [approving] countenance upon you and give you peace (tranquility of heart and life continually).

    Numbers 6:24-26, Amplified Bible, Classic Edition

  2. And be ready to leave behind everything you can’t carry. People are more important than things; given a choice between carrying family treasures or family – well, it isn’t really a choice. Loved ones are first.

    1. However, to take a lesson from the Palestinians (and others) who fled Israel prior to the war, leave notice that you are only temporarily leaving, for an extended vacation or sabbatical and intend to return. Turn off the services and have them paid up. And leave a forwarding address to a neutral post office box so you can keep your property taxes paid up. You may want to keep a right of return. That way there might be something left of value after the Terrors end. But all that is preparation, not what you leave for the last minute you need to get out of Dodge.

  3. I wondered what happened to Wretchard. I’m really glad to discover he just changed his handle. He’s always worth reading.

  4. The wife and I were talking about just this this morning. So many lies. Whether it be vaccines, pronouns, the past, the Russians, Chinese bribes, Hunter Biden, Whoopi, guys being girls and girls being guys, crime, the police, riots, the list goes on.

    The devil is not called the Prince of Lies for nothing and the devil is definitely abroad.

    Speaking of preference cascades, Solidarność

  5. Oh yes, please, let us have a preference cascade. Let us recover quickly, with the communists kicked into the trash heap of history, never to return. I’d like to proceed to complaining about self driving cars and the cost of a seat on a rocket ship to the Moon colony. Let’s get to a Heinlein future and laugh about the “Crazy Years” behind us.

  6. Continual lying will rot your soul…And that’s what they want…As to communists and communism, they cannot be cured or prevented from infecting your society without eliminating them root and branch, as was done in Indonesia…

    1. Indeed.
      I have always taken comfort from a certain Bible verse, which I first read in a novel – and which I worked into a novel of my own, decades later.
      Kings 19:18
      “Yet I have left me seven thousand in Israel, all the knees which have not bowed unto Baal, and every mouth which hath not kissed him.”
      We are among the seven thousand, who have not bowed to Baal, and our mouths have not kissed that idol.

  7. I visit at this point to share a thought:

    Communists in the US learned that bombing sprees got them nowhere. So, that cohort, stuck on the idea that they could make the communist revolution happen, decided that their next tactic was politics and institutions like universities. Pelosi probably went into the federal legislature because of Reagan being a set back to what they thought they had pulled with Carter. Now, they had hit the point of ‘we have infiltrated, and now control politics, media, universities, and the security services’. They estimated they had everything, because they deeply misunderstand the whole.

    We’ve known about a /lot/ of this for a while. Overestimating the utility of the security services, because they underestimate the role of ordinary Americans in American security, due to ‘needing’ to assume that there isn’t popular support for anti-communism. Etc.

    New to me insight? They were always going to overestimate over all communist influence when estimating from communist involvement in high level politics. Because high level politics would correlate to a disordered interest in political power, and because a disordered interest in political power is likely to have a stronger correlation with communism than the general population does.

    1. Minor quibble: By the time much of the radical left realized that their bombing tactics weren’t working, many of the universities were already effectively under leftist control.

    2. I dunno–my impression is that the Left UNDERestimates its influence and control. I don’t spend a lot of time on leftist sites, but whenever I do drop by, I see someone (usually the host of the blog) complaining about how powerful and evil the Right is. I suppose they could just be posing for their audience, but it sure seems like they’re sincere in their belief.

      1. Dear Lord. NO.
        Part of their myth is that they’re oppressed.
        BUT they also overestimate how much they can do, and how many people support them. It’s also part of their myth that the arrow of history points to them being the future.
        They don’t live in reality at any level.

        1. Of course they’re outnumbered, cornered and over-powered.

          That means that anything they do is “punching up,” which their philosophy holds is inherently moral.

          Thus, a mob of career criminals chasing after a teenage boy that they suspect of putting out a flaming dumpster they were trying to roll into either a gas station or police vehicles is perfectly acceptable, but crime victims that manages to defend themselves against overwhelming force are engaging in unfair abuse.

        2. “Part of their myth is that they’re oppressed.”

          As opposed to the reality, which is that they’re oppressive.

      2. They generally think that control means everything caters to their whims. The existence of anything outside their control invalidates all.

      3. Core behavior of a leftist, almost what causes them to be defined as left, is a belief that their theoretical models describe reality, and that future events must be predicted by said theory.

        Humans notice patterns, and we use theory to sort and navigate the vast number of patterns that we could notice. Noticing stuff is a learned, trainable skill.

        Leftists are mainly ‘finding’ and noticing the patterns that support their theory.

        Modern leftists are mostly communist. As such, they also have a behavior of being frightened to be out of step with other members of their ‘church’. They also believe that they can change reality simply by feeling hard enough.

        Skipping digging into the weeds of their theory, beleiving themselves outnumbers or at least oppressed is very important. And, the ones confident enough to deviate from a single element of party truth are few.

  8. I’m making my new home/life in Idaho. This feels like I’m creating a beachhead for my sister and her husband to flee north Seattle when it all comes crashing down. Their employers (Safeway and Umpqua Bank) are becoming more tyrannical every day; they will soon be forced to take the shot(s) in order to stay employed. Jaydolph Inslee is a tyrant who will not stop until he’s murdered.

    There’s more insanity in North Idaho than I’d expected. It tends to cluster around the hugely overpriced organic grocery stores. But, the vast majority are liberty loving patriots, ready to fight to the death for their families and the Republic.

    Anyhow, yes to all you wrote, Sarah, huge yes. Keep your eyes open, watch your six, keep your weapons and cash with you at all times.

    1. Congratulations Kathy on getting away! Will be stuck here in WA for a while for family reasons, but trying to lay low…

      1. I feel so blessed, it’s as if Himself is watching over every detail.
        Take good care, and as long as you’re ready to run, you’ll be fine. 🙂

    2. Take the shots, or be fired. Quitting is not a good option, as most states will not pay unemployment for voluntarily leaving an organization. But if you do go the being fired route, do NOT go quietly into the night. Be as vocal and noticeable as possible. Make sure every employee knows why you’re being fired. And every manager and shareholder of the business know. AND everyone in the community know the tyranny of the company, with strong suggestions on other places to patronize instead. Yeah, Northern Idaho, and other isolated locations don’t have a whole lot of alternatives. YMMV

      1. I’ve refused to quit Fred Meyer. I haven’t been able to work for them for over a year, and the fools refuse to fire me. I still get an employee discount when I shop there.
        I will never quit. I’m going to see how long it takes them to force me out. 🙂
        And I will not go lightly or quietly.
        We don’t have a ton of options, but we do have Walmart and some other big box groceries. Also uber expensive natural food stores.

        1. Don’t know enough about the local climate, and ofc I don’t know the details of your personal situation.

          But *to the greatest extent possible*, secure your own food supply outside of the normal methods. Grow your own garden – as large as you can manage. Befriend a local farmer/rancher, arrange to buy (part of) a meat animal, have a local butcher break it down and keep as much of it for you that you don’t have room in your own freezers to keep, etc.

          /me just signed up for the seed swap in his town…..

          1. Great advice, thanks!
            I’m finding a local butcher today, and checking for local ranches and other sources of real food.
            I’ve got probably six months’ food supply in house, but nothing fresh of course.

            1. If you’re close enough, I cannot recommend Wood’s enough. They’re just north of Sandpoint. My folks have bought from them since before I was born.

              1. I’m not far from there, maybe 40 miles south? And 95 is 70 mph as soon as you get north of Hayden.
                I’m visiting there for sure, next week when my stuff actually arrives. I took a look at their website and they are exactly what I’m looking for, thanks!
                I blazed up to Sandpoint the other day, not a bad drive at all.

          2. I have a grow light and usually wind up with excess seedlings. Gonna be trading a few this spring. And I will totally snail-mail lamb’s quarter seeds to anybody who wants ’em. They’re ugly, tough, prolific, nutritious and they don’t *look* like food. (There’s a bit of an oxalic acid problem, which goes away if you cook them rather than snarf them raw.)

                  1. Best way to do it. Especially with seeds. 🙂 So your seeds have been dropped off and are…traversing. And then I realized I forgot to print off the care-and-feeding rundown I wrote for a friend, so give me a yell (trufox at the proton) and I’ll cut and paste it for you.

            1. I would *love* some seeds! How would you like me to send you my address? This is terrific. I use a grow light as well, and I can’t wait to get my herb garden going at my new place.

              1. I’d be delighted to send you seeds! My e-mail is trufox at that place with the protons, and that’s probably the easiest way to swap addresses.

        2. We get our retail groceries at 4(!) different places in Flyover Falls. The restaurant supply place works because no sales tax in Oregon, but we use Fred Meyer, a large independent store, and the Bi-Mart medium-box store. ($5 lifetime fee to join, good prices. They were my go-to for the pharmacy, but got clobbered by higher wholesale costs and poorer CMS reimbursements.) Thier grocery section occasionally has great deals.

          Bi-Mart’s in Oregon, Washington and in Idaho.

            1. Nope. I coulda/shoulda written “Fred Meyer, and a large independent store (Sherm’s Thunderbird Market). The guy also has two non-Kroger Food4Less stores in SW Oregon.

          1. Good to know, thanks.
            I’m crafting an entirely new life, so the idea of shopping at several stores appeals to me, though it’s a new idea.

            1. If you know how to cook/preserve, bargain grocery stores can be your best bet. There’s one near me that divides itself between unwanted groceries and the tail ends of restaurant supplies, and we eat *well* as a result. (Sadly, I’ll probably never be able to recreate the Miracle of the $1 Tenderloin, but STILL.) I have $REDACTED jars of canned chicken from my last run and feel much better thereby.

                1. They got unmarked bagfuls of “beef” from a restaurant supplier. Nobody knew what KIND of beef, but I knew I could do *something* with it. Turned out it was tenderloin, nom nom nom.

                  1. If you’ve got any kind of needs-tenderizing-beef, and the Fanny Farmer cookbook? Try the pork teriyaki recipe. But use beef.

                    For pork that recipe is edible. With beef it is delicious.

                    And if you have soy allergies, Worcestershire sauce + 1 tsp salt per tablespoon makes an excellent substitute.

                    1. Oooooh. I have a sous vide and two exceptionally surly chuck roasts in the freezer. I will try that. ❤

      2. Also, see if there are any class action lawsuits against them. You may or may not want to join them, but at least adding your name will help them make the case for injury.

    3. [goes off, looks him up]

      First thing I come to:
      [reads Emergency Order]
      Little Tin God, I see.

      Coulda warned you about North Idaho, it’s part of the Missoula-Kalispell Triangle. Even so, the loons are still the minority. Loud, but minority.

      Come set a spell on the porch if you like:
      www DOT city-data DOT com/forum/idaho/724964-north-idaho-front-porch-401.html

      City-Data’s forum is dedicated to people trying to decide where to move to, but we also have these little porch conclaves, just bein’ neighborly. (The late and much-missed ElkHunter started the tradition over in the Montana forum, many years ago.) If you need to know something about your new home, this is a great place to ask.

      1. The current governor is an evil baby tyrant. Yes. We have work to do, even though the crazies are few’ish in number. The medical tyranny here is as bad as WA State, but I think that’s nationwide.
        Thanks for the offer to hang out – I’ve got a ton of excess anxiety energy to process, so I’m headed down to the river to fish, and do some hiking.

      2. Kalispell wasn’t bad when we were doing projects there. Really liked the area. Also Cour d’ Alene. Yes, it’s a tad flaky, but outside town it was very compatible.

    4. Good to hear you got out, Kathy. Too bad you didn’t make it here to east Tennessee, though. Folks, if you’re looking to get out of some wokista-infested hellhole, check out east Tennessee. Just be sure you stay a good piece east of Nashville (and don’t even thing about Memphis on the western edge of the state).

      1. Thanks, Doug. The #1 reason I didn’t make it out your way was that I can’t fly, and I have to do a bit of recon before I move. I so appreciate knowing that maybe E TN is in the future, once the airlines get themselves sorted out.
        I tried to work it out, but Idaho was the best choice. 🙂

        1. That is important for sure. I was lucky enough to have two weeks of time off scheduled to let me check out the area I was considering most strongly, which I think I’m going to go for if everything holds long enough for me to complete the profitable decluttering, sell my house, and get going. Here’s hoping it does.

          1. I’m lifting you up for blessing and success! Praying also that people like Doug find you, the local help and encouragement is gold.

            1. Well, considering that our hostess is going to be one of the locals in question that’s one good one right there, and same for the other Hun I met while I was there! It’s just a matter of things holding long enough to not end up stranded down here because of things going to Hell. If they do, well…

          1. Another point in its favor, and another blessing in my life.
            I strongly feel that I’m the point “man” for the members of my family who might have to leave western WA quickly. I feel like I’m establishing a beachhead in Free America.

      2. My first choice was E TN from Chicago. Other considerations overrode. Daughter getting 2nd degree in Nursing after starting career in Marketing with Marriott. Son heavy into real estate here in Nash. Sooo, escape property being looked at is east. Nearing retirement, but bug out will definitely be east.

        Love Tennessee. Great people, great environment.

      1. Thanks! I’ll be less anxious in a couple of weeks. The movers pick everything up next week, and once they deliver it, I’ll start to relax.

        I’m also looking for work, and that’s proving just the same as it usually is!

        But it’s great, not a complaint in the world.

    5. I had a plan to move to Arizona. I found a couple of nice areas in Cochise county where I could live and breath mostly free air. I had a preapproval for a home loan and was actively looking for a place. Then conditions changed so I am stuck here in California for a while.

      Best I can do today is try to keep my principles secure, protect the tribe, and keep my clothes and weapons where I can find them in the dark. Hopefully the death toll will not be too bad where I am. Even better if it doesn’t include me or any of mine.

      Truth is almost always an ally of virtue. A half truth is almost always an ally of some vice.

      Kowtowing to the crocodile just moves you to the top of the menu.

      1. I’m a firm believer in Providence. You are probably right where you need to be, and it sounds like you’re keeping your wits about you.

    6. Jaydolph Inslee is a tyrant who will not stop until he’s murdered.

      There is hope. Several Democrat (!) legislators have sponsored a bill to curb the governor’s emergency powers:

      Up to now the Legislature has been completely supine and has repeatedly rubber-stamped Inslee’s arrogation of powers, but not every D representative lives in a sapphire-blue district, and self-preservation may be kicking in…

      1. There is always hope! I’m part of a Banner Brigade that is very, very active in/near Seattle. And Jaydolph will get his, eventually.

    7. I am SO happy to hear that you escaped Washington! Yay! Did you feel the stress lift from your shoulders? About a week or so after we got to TX it dawned on me how much calmer I am. It’s a great feeling.

      1. JOY. I’ve felt an overwhelming sense of joy since I’ve been here. I bought my bed/frame from two young men, both MAGA, one from Seattle, one from Sacramento. My airbnb hosts go to church. It’s… such a blessing.
        I’m prone to anxiety, so the impending household goods pickup and delivery, and transporting my two kittens across WA are pushing my stress levels.
        Once I get here, find good work, yeah…. I think it will be a relief.

          1. Reading your and others journeys to safe havens really helps keep my stuff in perspective. I know I will relax into my new spaces, and that really helps.
            It’s incredibly hard/impossible to write well, much less to paint/draw. It’s even hard to read fiction. But it will end. Sooner rather than later, now.

        1. I hear you. The cats will be fine. They’ll do their damnedest to make you feel guilty, but they’ll be fine. Max acted like we were taking him to the abattoir – howled like crazy for the first day. I mean deep, “my life is over any minute now” howls. It was pretty funny.

          1. She does need to make sure the cats stay indoors until they’ve come to know the new place as home. I once had a cat who would come and go as she pleased, which was fine until we moved 50 miles away. She was fine on the car ride, but the first time we let her outside the new house, she disappeared forever. We were pretty sure she tried to make her way back to where she had always belonged. (Maybe she succeeded; dogs and cats have survived longer journeys than that.)

            1. Pixel, whom we left with a friend till he could fly, made it half way from NC to CO when a snow storm stopped him, and someone called the number on his tag and we sent soemone to get him.
              The question is: HOW did he know where we’d gone?

              1. We haven’t moved in 33 years now. But our first cats moved three times in 11 years. Only one move was any distance. Our protocol was to keep them inside for a few months. Helped that their boxes, furniture, and blankets, etc., moved with them. When we would start letting them our was in the wettest weather possible, further imprinting “this is home now”.

            2. Oh, yeah. If you’re going to let them outdoors you have to keep them inside for at least a couple of weeks, if not longer. My current cat is completely declawed (came that way) so he does not go outside at all.

            3. Great advice, thanks.
              I’m fortunate that these two have been 100% indoor cats their whole lives–apartment dwellers, so that isn’t an issue.
              Jimmy did, once, when he was younger climb down the side of the apartment building from the second floor, then hid under an SUV all day till I got home from work. 🙂

              1. I took a stray who liked to wander A LOT (we found him in CA), and he was indoor/outdoor through upstate NY until we got to Philly. Living in the city with three bus lines going by, none of my cats were going outside. He turned into an indoor cat with no fuss.

          2. Oh my gosh I’m going to reread this every day till they get here.
            I’ve driven across country with cats, and from San Diego to Seattle with a cat who howled the entire way and shat himself in retaliation.
            My two sleep a lot, and should be fine….
            I think this is a case of “thinking about it is worse than doing it.”

          3. Working out how to take my four to Safe Harbor City will be tricky for sure. At the very least I plan to see to C personally – I’m not sure that a pretty cat like him won’t “accidentally” get lost if I trust him to someone else. But it’ll be worth it if I can pull this off.

            1. When we did the drive from LA to NY, we had three. Got one big carrier for the two sisters, and regular size one for Zonker. We padded the insides of the carriers with puppy pee pads because they were going to pee no matter what and those things at least keep the top side dry.
              Friends of ours traveled with four and got a cat tent to put in the back of the car for the cats. I’ll ask and get the name of it and how they thought it worked. I know she said she put the litter box in there with them.

              1. I figure I can split H and L into one carrier and R and C into the other because of how well they get along but this is still a ways off and if the alarm bell holds true, well… I’ll be lucky to not end up buried somewhere in the Butt Fruit State.

    8. First time I saw Cour d’Alene, I got the impression that Himself used the place as a practice piece before creating Paradise.

      1. 🙂 What a lovely sentiment. I, too, have found it strikingly beautiful, and that’s covered with snow and ice and 22-degrees.

        I was on the Spokane River couple of days ago, and it was flat calm. Canadian geese, buffleheads, and no sound other than the wind.

        I’m eager to pull some fat fish out of the local rivers as soon as I can get out there.

  9. “””
    I broke, now going on fifteen years ago. I couldn’t take it anymore. I felt as if I were losing my soul. I could only pretend to the softest of soft left and it wasn’t enough.

    Yeah. That’s why I made that blog post I did, that you picked up, Sarah. TY.

    TBH, I had a dear (left-leaning, pacifist) friend take offense, because she thought I had lumped her in with “The Enemy” – that I had disrespected her (implicitly) by my language. I was correctly ashamed of my error.
    To her _great_ credit, she’s going to help me polish a follow-on post to give the necessary nuance. (And, I hope, enlighten her.) *I RETRACT NOTHING* But I could be more accurate in my absolutism.

  10. I’ve long thought that the Second Amendment implies a duty to consider just what it would take to cause one to take up arms against a government grown tyrannical. For me, it’s not something that requires me to throw my life away on a futile gesture…but judging when the gesture is no longer futile is something I have no idea how to do in advance. It’s something that will only be obvious in hindsight.

    I keep waiting for something real to happen, something that will push us deplorables in flyover country over the edge. Every time I think we’re heading that way, we pull back from the brink.

    1. The Good Lord looks after fools, drunkards, and the United States of America. He doesn’t make our choices for us, nor does He force our hands- but he does answer prayers.

      Betimes he gently encourages humans along the path, at others he calls upon those with the skills and ability needed, I believe. It can be rather rough going on those he chooses. Though if we minded ourselves better perhaps it wouldn’t be so bad, but oh, the tools He chooses! And that curious sense of humor, indeed.

      1. I have wondered recently if violent resistance in certain quarters is being divinely suppressed.

          1. I’ve been noting some . . . interesting coincidences. I don’t know if I’m making patterns where none exist, or seeing hints and slight tells. *shrugs in Cat* All I know about the future is that someone will be dumb on the roads here tomorrow. Beyond that? *another shrug in Cat*

          2. It’s been going on for a while. I started noting in oh, 2012 that those called weren’t always those you’d EXPECT. Himself has a ….preference for the unlikely heroes.

                1. Sarah, this is the Guy who drafted a tax collector as a Disciple. That question is ALL the way off the table. 😎

                    1. It is a very close copy. Dave dies before me, and the two of them are going to be cooking up stuff to happen to me…. And laughing. AND probably drinking tea.
                      DAVE! You’re not allowed to die before me.

      2. I’m starting to wonder if the Freedom Convoy and its global echos might be the start. The weather will be warming soon, and if things get tighter when it “feels” as if they ought to be easing up . . .

    2. I guess it depends on how you define “futile”.

      The Warsaw Ghetto uprising was ultimately futile from one point of view in that most of those in the ghetto were killed during the fighting and the survivors shipped off to concentration camps,

      But they took a lot of the bastards with them. A worthwhile goal in itself.

      1. True. I guess to me, futile means not leading to some sort of meaningful change more directly than influencing a small number of people.

        1. Issue is, once you start defining problems according to such formulation, it is very easy to travel down a path to crazyland.

          A guy once told me that MIT faculty prided themselves on inspiring in students a desire to ‘change the world’.

          Issue is, for a technically oriented human, this can be a recipe for insanity and wasting effort. You are trying to understand the world, your hypothetical new widget, and the ways they interact. Ordinary widget design is difficult enough without worrying about the world also. The answer the woke suggest is simplifying the world into ‘grand challenges’, then trying to direct engineers to address the challenges. This is usually futile bullshit, or tackling something from the wrong end.

          The correct alternative is looking to widget design that impacts a smaller more understandable chunk of the world, like a small business, or one’s own family. Or, simply trusting to the markets to figure out how useful an engineering skillset is, and how high a priority a given problem is for that skillset.

          This thinking seems to apply more generally.

          The woke have these grand scale plans for how they will change society. Which are a dumpster fire, partly because they need theory to model aggregation, partly because the selection of theory and problem causes them to ignore obvious-to-a-crowd results, and partly because they are psychopaths.

          You and I might not be psychopaths, but we not certain to be smart enough to theoretically solve any large scale problem better than a group can.

          Influence on a few people is where we can most sanely understand what we are trying to do. We cannot know the results of our non-malicious deeds, we won’t be able to see all of the good that we do. But, we are less likely to spin our wheels chasing ritual behavior blindly.

            1. Yeah, I assumed I had an answer, a second set of advice, and on reflection I don’t. (Then I wound up writing some anyway.)

              I’m religious, and my religion tells me that maintaining the resolve to resist, when the world is against you, and you die for it, is a win. I have an out if my guesses are wrong.

              For me, knowing that Biden isn’t president, and saying so, is itself a victory condition, regardless of whether I can put together the support to do more.

              I’m almost entirely sure that more will be done.

              My intuition is that both the slow game, and the peaceful game are working. But, I am not confident enough in that to sustain emotional comfort.

              Whatever we wind up doing, right now a lot of what makes sense is sitting and fishing for the development of subtly different circumstances.

              If direct action, waiting gives us two things. One, less commitment to the opposition, and more moderates turning their coats to our side, so less people to fight. Specific targets are discrediting themselves, making it more likely that taking them out would bring in few supporting the opposition.

              More peacefully, we are waiting on two things. One is preference cascade. The second is crowd sourcing non-violent methods of conflict.

              The true enemy seem to be few, so a lot of the waiting is going in our favor.

    3. Jay (and everyone) –

      keep your eyes on “”. should be live in a few days……

    4. At this time, I think peaceful resistance is more effective. That doesn’t mean you shouldn’t have a loaded rifle handy — just in case the enemy doesn’t see it that way.

    5. I honestly think we are never going to need to resort to arms in flyover country. The USA is a great big, homogeneous place, and the least resilient part of the country is the inner city. The contradictions there are the greatest and it is the most dependent upon a very complex set of arrangements that are easily disrupted. We will be watching from afar as systems break down there first; indeed, in many ways it has already happened or is now in the process of happening.

      1. ^^^ – THIS

        my only quibble (and fear) is that in the Blue Cities in the “Red Sea” (see what I did there 😉 ), especially if the local subset of Teh Enemiez (yes, distorting the spelling deliberately to make it more clear(?) that I’m talking about a very particular group) don’t recognize the precariousness of their position –

        it could get UGGGLY

        (hope, and pray, and strive that it be not so!)

        1. There are some blue cities that are obviously in the red sea. Kansas City, for example, or Madison. But I’m not so sure about, say, Minneapolis. How closely must the sea lap at the shores? Outstate Minnesota is deep red (even the Iron Range, now, though for years it was blue because unions), and we all know about the Twin Cities. The inner-ring suburbs are blue, as well, but the farther out you go, the more purple they get.

          1. Thing is, fraud makes it possible that blue cities aren’t really blue, merely occupied and terrorized.

            We have no complete information about what the real situation is.

  11. The most hilarious thing about the trucker protest is, apparently the Canadian Mounted Police had to come back to the negotiation table because someone pointed out to them, if they arrested and jailed all the truckers, they wouldn’t have anyone with the capacity to move the trucks.

    And the tow truck companies all called in sick…

    1. And some braintrust on Twitter suggested slashing their tires without thinking through the consequences . . .

      1. Also hearing that sleep deprivation tactics are ineffective on long haul truck drivers.

        I just hope it keep spiraling into the silly, and the RCMP don’t take it into their pea brains to do something exceptionally stupid. But they’re losing a lot of face here, so I’m worried they might do something to try and make people fear them.

        1. Well, the RCMP has apparently sent their equivalent of FBI’s HRT to the border, so…..

          1. Makes me glad Canada isn’t a nuclear power. That said, that only somewhat limits the scale at which they can screw up.

            Watch them manage to melt the road bed or something equally retarded…

        2. Sleep deprivation tactics? On long haul truckers? Pardon me, but that made me laugh my arse off for a moment.

          Sleep deprivation tactics is pretty much the average Tuesday for OTR long hauls. Those that can’t get used to don’t stick. That, and the lack of decent showers, crappy food, unhelpful terminal dockworkers, stupid traffic shenanigans in certain locales, and did I mention the crappy showers? It can often be a dirty, dangerous, and difficult job. The ones that *do* stick tend to have a certain, shall we say, temperament. *chuckle*

          1. I’m waiting for “We’ll make it difficult to impossible to go home! Just make us!” Um, truckers who live on the road 24/7. (Not all. But …)

      2. hopefully one of braintrusts’s followers gets caught doing it and then finds out how much truck tires cost….

        1. Hey feller. You see that split rim tire over there? Yeah, that one. Go over there and hit it a couple of times with that sledge hammer. Make sure you stand right in front of it so you can hit it properly.

      3. “ And some braintrust on Twitter suggested slashing their tires without thinking through the consequences . . .”

        Antifa videoed themselves scattering nails on a highway. [ shakes head ]

    2. They called the tow operators at the border, but those companies were listening to the locals; if they wanted to continue to stay in business, they’d better tell the RCMP no. (OTOH, there are some who are participating in the blockade, either directly, or helping out truckers at the border.)

      1. Same thing happened when the mayor of Ottawa tried to get his tow truckers to haul the trucks away.

  12. As a retired aviator, it’s ingrained in me to tell the truth. Has it cost me? Certainly! Do I care, not really, because I can look at myself in the mirror in the morning! Solidarność!!!

  13. Unfortunately for conservatism the truth is seldom exciting, hardly ever captures the ‘public interest’, and… is often unpleasant.

    The masses prefer grandiose dreams, encouraging BS, and amazing predictions.

    Even the disaster scenarios capture the public interest more strongly than the greening of centuries old deserts.

    Simple things would change so much… like just adding error bars to climate charts.

  14. If you’re forced to repeat things you don’t believe in, after a while you start believing them and defending them.

    Which is part of why lying– and false witness– are so very bad.

    Even when you KNOW it’s not true– even could you KNOW it would only harm those who deserve it– it also hurts you.

      1. That is a definite advantage to telling the truth. You just have to remember enough to figure out what you think when you get distracted, rather than hving to remember what you said or what you’re supposed to believe etc.

      2. I’m not smart enough to keep all those lies straight.

        Me neither. That’s why my answer to every question during advanced SERE training was “We were in international airspace and I want to see the Ambassador”.

        It’s harder to get tripped up if you don’t play their game.

          1. Especially several chapters between them. That’s why I can’t really pants a story. I need to build the framework and work out where the parts tie in. It’s a modular thinking and construction method for me similar to how I build code modules. And even then I’ve been known to get to the end and sit there thinking, “Uh oh. where was that last item on the complex conditional supposed to go?”

            1. series. I am paying someone to do bibles for my series. Because I have three that will be long-running: shifters and darkships and am adding 2 more, and a hellishly complex universe that unites a bunch of series. Keeping the stories straight is almost impossible.

          2. One of the reasons why I’ll never be a novelist. (along with a complete lack of skill and ability in that area).

      3. I’m not smart enough to keep all those lies straight.

        Me either.

        Heck I not only tell the truth. You get all the detail you didn’t ask for. Forget saying “If I wanted to know that I’d ask for it.” Tough. It is what I think is relevant and that is all the detail I can think of, and sometimes it is “Oh, I forgot/left out …” backtracking. Yes. I will make you pull out what hair you have left in your head. If you are bald, I’m sure I can frustrate you into some other action. AND, I can repeat it. Not the same order. But since it is the truth, the same detail will be there, with more, as more detail emerge.

      4. When you lie you need two brains: One to hide the truth and the other to manage the lies.

    1. I recall an article on how effective it is to brainwash people by having them creatively write small lies for small rewards. Basically, write a thing about how XYZ villain is really good and we’ll give you chewing gum. Or the one who writes the best one gets a pack of gum type things.

      Because once you’ve sold your soul for peanuts you need to either admit you sold yourself for a pack of gum, or you double down and insist that your new world is really the right one.

      1. That is both creepy and frankly terrifying when I think about some of the *really* badly done “so and so is really the hero” type stories.

        And that’s from someone who *enjoys* Devil’s Advocate!

      2. Or as the old joke has it…

        “Would you sleep with me for ten million dollars?”

        “Wow. Ten million?!? Yes, I probably would.”

        “Would you sleep with me for five bucks?”

        “Whaaat?!? Who do you think I am, a whore??”

        “We’ve already established you’re for sale, madam. Now we’re just haggling over price. How about $10?”

        The thing that’s suddenly not so funny to me, though, is remembering all those stories about teachers, often as far back as late elementary school, assigning wokerish essays (sometimes with prizes) on What We Can Do To Fight “Global Warming”. Or “Racism” or “White Supremacy” — or whatever else “it” was (carefully) “framed” to the children/youngsters as being (but always bad like the Orange Man).

        Of course, I’m sure the teachers could See No Evil on that one…

      3. There was a post on Wretchard about bribery in the PI during the Marcos days – about how shamed that voters would be, selling out for the price of some cheap alcohol.
        Small lies for small rewards.
        Never realizing until afterwards that you have sold yourself, your basic integrity for … something so small and cheap.

      4. I remember hearing that this is what the Chinese did with UN prisoners during the Korean War. They would hold writing contests that would challenge the prisoners to write on a seemingly neutral topic, with small but useful prizes awarded for the writing that the Chinese judged best. But all of the prisoners knew that unless you espoused something in your writing that the Chinese judges endorsed, you would never win a prize. So prisoners were under pressure to add in a little something that went against their conscience.

        Further, the Chinese were well aware that many honest men – being aware of the attempt to persuade the prisoners to lie – would simply refuse to write anything. So on rare occasions, the Chinese gave the award to someone who had *not* lied in what he wrote. This encouraged the honest men to keep writing, which meant that they were continuously subjected to a temptation that they otherwise might have avoided entirely.

  15. I liked that article you linked to: “people who are their ideas face a crisis of personal identity when their ideas are challenged and experience what feels like personal destruction when their ideas fail”

    Over the holidays I spent some time with three Millennials who have only lived in deep-blue California and never even visited the rest of America. Their life goals simply weren’t going to be possible here (have a house with a yard and raise a family), but they happened to go to Denver and couldn’t stop gushing about it.

    For $400,000 they could get a three-bedroom home in a safe neighborhood where the neighbors were actually friendly. There was almost no homeless so they could enjoy the city, plus there were so many outdoor activities to do that didn’t cost very much.

    I asked if they would vote Republican and the answer was NO! They absolutely weren’t going to vote for racists and bigots, and in Colorado the Democrats are having amazing results.

    When people personally identify with their ideas, it’s really hard to get them to change, even in the face of failure so bad that they have to leave the only state they’ve lived in, and then vote for the same ideas in the new place.

  16. Well, now we know another reason for scattering illegals all over.

    “As my trucker friend explained, if American truckers decide to convoy, they obviously won’t be making money. What’s worse, there are scabs willing to take their places.

    “We have too much ‘competition’ from across the southern border that will run loads if we lock it all up,” my buddy explained. Canadian truckers apparently don’t have to worry about Americans going north to steal their routes.”

        1. no, they haven’t. That’s where a lot of the supply chain shortages are happening… go to the coastline anywhere with a port, and look at the line of ships waiting that aren’t ordinarily there…

          1. Kalifornia caused their transport problems by banning owner-operators from the ports, because they’re not ‘protected’ by unions. Hey, dumbshits, THEY OWN THEIR OWN TRUCKS! Nobody’s ‘sploitin’ ’em!

            So, there aren’t any trucks without drivers for the scabs to take over. The big corporate trucking outfits have plenty of drivers, there just aren’t enough wheels available without the independents.
            People can make stupid mistakes, but only the government can force everybody to make the SAME stupid mistakes.


            • Unit volume for the Port of Los Angeles was 902,644 TEUs in October 2021. November 2021 TEUs of 811,460 and December 2021 TEUs of 786,589 were both significantly lower than in October 2021.

            • Unit volume for the Port of Long Beach was 789,716 TEUs in October 2021. November 2021 TEUs of 745,488 and December 2021 TEUs of 754,314 were both lower than in October 2021.

            Not only has unit volume in November and December 2021 decreased from October 2021, but year-over-year volume also declined.

            1. Yes, because there’s no trucks to pick things up and the stuff is sitting off the coast, so its being moved to OTHER ports. Formerly basically dead ports are suddenly busy… and they literally have SHIPS FULL OF STUFF SITTING OFF THE COAST… i mean, Baltimore’s port is busy again, The cargo ships are basically looking for any other port to drop their cargo in because cargo just isn’t going through LA and Long Beach.

              1. Yeah, the port of Baltimore is backed up. My recently-purchased new car came through there and was delayed about a week longer than expected.

                1. when we went to Delaware in November, you could see cargo ships lurking all over the bay, fully loaded. Likewise when we went to VA Beach in Dec

              2. California’s ports aren’t the sole reason for the logistical snarl (though they’re not helping). A lot of it also appears to be that the warehouses in the interior of the country – where goods get dropped off, sorted, and shipped to their next destination – are having trouble as well. Part of this might be caused by warehouse workers who are no longer interested in what the warehouses are paying.

                1. Junior, none of that refutes my (and the American truckers) basic point: Unlike the Canadians, who don’t share a border with a nation used to supplying on call labor to replace Americans, we do. And I’ve also provided actual links showing how the groundwork to do exactly that is already laid and only requires Brandon’s Junta do not enforce the rules, which they’ve proven quite good at.

                  Assertions vs cites: you decide..

                  1. ?

                    Are you talking about the “Mexican scabs will replace American truckers” thing? If so, I think others provided a much better counter-argument to it.

                    If you’re not, I’m not sure what the reference to the border is for

                    1. Well, sure it was a better counter… if you ignore the well established fact that people detained for drug and terrorism get their assets confiscated every day. Drivers available, trucks available.

                    2. You…really have not considered the sheer scale of what it would take to replace even 1% of the US trucking force, in this. I’ve linked to court reports on more trucks confiscated for having Mexican drivers deliver in the US than you’ve offered.

                      That’s before the now well-beaten point that civil asset forfeiture doesn’t work that way. No matter how much Reason magazine really, really wants it to be “walk up, take your stuff, we’re all gonna diiiiiiie,” they can’t even find cases that are any stronger than the BLM selected martyrs. (There’s a *reason* they avoid making it easy to find the legal cases, and it’s not because they’re such paragons of virtue.)

            2. Okay, let me explain, those big corps that “hire truckers” mostly hire owners operators or small outfits. SERIOUSLY. the percentages in the US don’t favor what people are describing. That’s mostly nonsense. (Yes, I know, but I have a ton of fans who are truckers, and have talked to them over the years. A LOT.)

            3. Let’s level set here. The truckers bringing Canada to its knees are 15% of those in Canada.
              I THINK in the US the majority are owner operators. But if not I AM SURE it’s more than 15%. And in point of fact, they ARE organizing a convoy. Multiple ones.
              Look, because it’s at PJM or in Ace comments it doesn’t mean it’s investigative journalism, okay?

              1. I heard about half of American truckers are independent owner-operators. If the government manages to honk half of them off, what we’re seeing in Canada will be a sideshow.

                  1. We went to the store over the weekend to “top off” our storage systems. Even got me motivated to pick up a 50 pound bag of rice…

                1. And finally, I tend to use aggregator sites, like AoS or Insty or PJ Media, because I’m not retired, semi-retired, or completely free to set my own hours, unlike so many here.

                  As Ivanova puts it, “Someone’s got to have some damn perspective around here. Boom. Sooner or later, Boom!”

        1. Mexican trucks delivering into the US has been true forever and is a different issue.

          You asserted that illegals which have been imported (including ones imported on planes) would be trucker scabs. Each scab needs a truck. That means they either need US trucks that are lying around (doesn’t exist), need to use trucks confiscated from the strikers/protesters (in which case the situation changes dramatically), or bring in trucks from Mexico.

          You are failing to basic math.

          1. And magically there would have to be enough Mexican trucks to feed Mexico, too.

            There’s only so much even a dictator can do. And as Hitler found out, to pull trucks out of someone’s butt is difficult.

          2. “That means they either need US trucks that are lying around (doesn’t exist),”

            Sure they do. The assets of detained (not charged, not convicted) drug dealers and terrorists are forfeited to the state on a daily basis.

              1. But fellow Doomer, I’ve just checked the BLS website.

                If ‘Computer Programmers’ is added to ‘Software Developers, Quality Assurance Analysts, and Testers’, it comes to around 2 million, the approximate number of ‘Heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers’.

                So, if the waitress at Red Lobster assures me that Mexicans will take away the programming jobs from hard working Amer-XXXX er, Indians, you and Steve are totally going to be looking for work.

                1. ‘Computer Programmers’ is added to ‘Software Developers, Quality Assurance Analysts, and Testers’

                  I’ve seen how well that works. Excuse me while I check my popcorn stash.

    1. There have been attempts to bring Mexican truckers over here to do things, going back to 2017.

      They’re quite illegal, and very closely followed– especially by the competition that doesn’t have access to B-1 truckers coming across.

      If there *is* systematic use of truckers beyond dropping off a load state-side, there should be results from the investigation here.

      Note, the story has to conflate people moving to the US with B-1 drivers doing illegal hauls.

        1. And the guys who invented DACA are SURE to obey that restriction…..

          “There are tens of millions of illegal immigrants now in the United States, and it will be virtually impossible to get rid of them. The democrats wanted them here; they didn’t have the authority or support to bring them here or keep them here, but they did it anyway.

          And that’s how the trick works. When they are stymied by laws that have been properly passed by the people’s representatives, Democrats simply proceed with their plans. Sometimes they get away with it indefinitely and sometimes the courts rein them back in, but by then they’ve already gotten their way. (Obama’s DACA beneficiaries are still here, and many have children of their own now, who are native-born U.S. citizens.)”

          1. Except that they DID have quite a bit of support for keeping them here– by people on the right who have been saying for thirty years that enforcement if immigration laws would be virtually impossible. While incidentally screaming about every possible solution that didn’t instantly, completely and unobjectionably solve the problem in complete compliance with the screamer’s preferred philosophy, of course.

            They didn’t bring them in, they made a tempting target to create the problem they wished to solve in a manner that had inertia on their side.

            THAT is how the trick works.
            They don’t like to do big, open, obvious things– that gets pushback.

            They set up a problem, plant stories to cut off reasonable solutions, make sure to blacken the name of anybody who is making reasonable suggestions, and then swoop in with their status-quo-but-improved solution.

            Exactly like they *clearly* expected to happen with Defund The Police.

            Which…worked in places they already controlled. And made it clear how much of the dysfunction *came* from that control.

  17. You first have to know the truth to tell it. And there are a LOT of people who don’t know the truth. I remember being a young skull full of mush hearing Walter Williams on the Rush Limbaugh show. Completely changed my world view. And I have never looked back. I had been taught so many things that were not true, but at least I recognized truth when I heard it.

    I thank God for that gift. Not everyone can even see the truth.

    1. Not a popular thing to remind folks of– puts some onus on folks to actually explain what they think, and…well, humans are human. It’s so much NICER to blame the folks who were kept ignorant by the inaction of you and yours, and FINALLY have someone you can lash out at, in safety while feeling all justified.

      See also, Affirmative Action applied against folks who weren’t even born when the wrong were done.

  18. …he talked of the Canadian Truck Standoff as the beginning of a global preference cascade. It might be. Maybe.

    Even if it’s not a “global” preference cascade, “the” cascade where many people everywhere finally hit the wall (or the boiling point) and Just Change Things, Romanian Style, it’s at the very least “a” preference cascade — a “foreshock” mini version of the same thing. Which, in that sort of “cascade” or “avalanche” sort of situation, tends to mean… we’re already almost there, within sight of “the” cascade point.

    There are lots of similarities with “critical point phenomena” and “self organizing systems” and whatnot… but mostly it reminds me of a pile of sand. Where you drop one grain at a time, until it forms a pile, a taller pile, and then reaches the famous “angle of repose” where each grain tends to make a little avalanche, or a slightly bigger one, or often enough a really big slide.

    Maybe the masky-vaxxy-mandy folks will back off. Fast. (Some evidence for that, here and there about now.) Maybe not… but the underlying dynamics are, shall we say, just not very forgiving to them anymore.

    Hey, tyrants: you’ve been warned… again.

  19. As a complete aside, I really like the idea of Canadians, blue collar Canadians at that, being the fulcrum that shifted the world. I mean, Canada is just there, and bland. And they go along. They’re mostly famous for being polite. Americans pick fights. I’m frankly surprised our truckers haven’t been switching out their air horns for “FJB” and parking outside the White House. But Canadians don’t get that worked up unless hockey is involved.

    1. Except . . . The Devil’s Brigade, and a few other Canadian contributions to WWI and WWII. Once Canadians get pushed to a certain point, look out. I think that point is about to be reached, if it hasn’t already.

          1. As seen in a YouTube comment on one of their videos (pretty sure it was the always awesome 82nd All the Way), the height of anyone’s military career is Sabaton writing a song about them!

          1. I was singing that song (badly) when I came up with The Sabaton Test.

            IN TO!

    1. I have a sweatshirt that I wear proudly – “I’m the Crazy Uncle”

      (Since I _just_ started becoming a martial artist in the last year,) I tell everybody who comments on it, “Yep. And I’ve got the sweatshirt and yellow belt to prove it.”


                1. “Polish Art Center has them. And other cool stuff. ”
                  Thank you for that link. I was happy to see that they have a location in Hamtramck, MI. They are local to me! (for certain values of local0

          1. I have a historical decal I need to add to my vehicle, once it gets warm enough. A winged hussar. Those who know, will know.

  20. I have been saying, to my godson and others, this phrase:
    “The worst lies are the ones you tell yourself”
    Tell them long enough and you will try to believe them.

  21. Mike Houst says:.
    No. When you leave, knock the dust off your feet, wash your hands, and Never Look Back.

  22. I’m a nurse, and a slow nurse. Seems when I was being oriented, they would say–do this like this, unless State is in the building. Then the right way to do this is—. I said no, best thing is too do the best thing, the best practice, even if it takes longer. Always do what you are supposed to, even if no one is looking.
    Or as I told one of my patients, if I make a mistake they’ll figure it out during the autopsy.

    I was considered a “by the book” kind of guy. They also admitted to swearing considerably less when I was working than when I wasn’t. Nothing I said, just how I behaved.

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