
*First, yes, yes, I’m going to get back on a reasonable schedule for the blog soonest. Sorry. the pneumonia seems to be past, but it left my asthma ridiculously spun up, which means … still slow. It will improve. And I’ll do some writing on Rhodes in the free giveaway stuff today too. ALMOST functional again. Turns out shock of any kind can worsen autoimmune. even good shock. Who knew?- SAH*
Okay, so at this point you’re looking at the title and the picture and wondering if I had this scheduled before the election.
No.
Brace. We’re in for a heavy economic crash.
Stop staring at me like I’m crazy. No, nothing Trump will do, and the pop up from it will be easier than it would have otherwise been, because we were in for a crash anyway. The big difference is the timing of the crash. The crash, if the democrats had won, was going to come now. Tomorrow, maybe. That way they could blame it on Biden, and it would also give Harris the excuse to implement all sorts of — let’s face it — communist measures on the back of the crisis. Now they’re going to try like hell so it crashes January.
If you’ve heard Trump is already working hard with his transition team? That’s why. He also sees it coming, and he’s not an idiot. He has to make sure we recover in the first two years, one if possible so we don’t take a bath in midterms.
But Sarah, you’ll say, why would the economy crash now?
People: the economy has already crashed. We are in an actual depression and have been for a while. All our friends — all highly skilled people — who lose their jobs have a hell of a time finding a new one. If you’re over fifty you’re now retired. And the companies who claim they can’t find employees are mostly lying to justify not hiring more people, because everyone is hurting.
How bad hurting? In October we lost net 28k jobs, all over the country, when “static” is creating around 300k. How bad hurting? Well, we both work and yeah, this year has been lit as far as home repairs, and my being swallowed by a yuge book means nothing has come out BUT holy heck people, we’re feeling the pinch. We have no kids at home. We both make money. We live below our means house wise. We take no vacations except to go to cons, which is deductible. And we’re being careful. Not hurting as such but “do we really need that extra x this year?” careful.
I know what friends who still have kids in the house are doing to survive. It’s crazier than Obama’s summers of recovery when I was buying ten turkeys on sale after thanksgiving, chopping them up or grinding them so that the kids could eat meat the next six months. (Because sometimes 25c a pound. And that we could afford, even with the bones subtracted. I used them for broth, anyway.) It’s bad out there.
The democrats’ song and dance about how great the economy is ranks up there in extreme “how crazy are you?” because everyone who grocery shops knows otherwise, and how.
So– We’re probably already in a depression. Why wouldn’t trump coming in make it better?
Because as Ray Bradbury put it in 1992 the economy is a matter of perception to an extent. How people behave and whether they still buy even if on credit, can prop up a disastrous economy. A panic can crash a decentish but fragile economy. The left are past masters at using their media to manipulate perceptions, and while it doesn’t work as well as it used to, until recently it has worked.
My perception of the economy in general is that we’re Wile E. Coyote, running over the abyss, and if we look down it crashes hard.
I’ve always believed that the crash would come end of this year, because I expected them to fraud Harris in. Since they had a fraud fail (oh, they still had fraud. Probably 50% of their vote. They just couldn’t do the last minute stuff in the eyes of the world. Our first order of business is THOROUGH investigations and clean up) they’re going to try to hold it through January, then let the bottom out, mostly in perception, though people like Soros also manipulate markets.
Keep this mind.
Keep it in mind, because some of Trump’s program is going to hurt. Yes, I’m talking about tariffs and my libertarian friends will have to forgive me because I know tariffs are heresy, but… I disapprove of tariffs. In a just and free world, we wouldn’t need them.
But as much as tariffs will hurt us, yes, Trump needs to slap them on Mexico to make them stop the act of war of letting us be invaded via their territory. Of channeling them in. That needs to stop. We can respond to it militarily or …. economically. Both will hurt. tariffs will kill fewer people and redirect our industry internally again.
More importantly, we need to slap tariffs on China. Hard. Look, there is no reason to buy cheap plastic sh*t much less anything else from a country who uses slave labor. And your progressive friends who claim to be so anti-slavery need to be hit on the snout twice a week with their willingness to foster this.
In the late eighties early nineties, we knew factory operators. No, not owners. These were little automated factories, in the middle of nowhere, STAFFED by two people: night and day shift. They produced…. oh, watering cans, colanders, all the stuff we now buy from China.
Why do we buy it from China? Partly environmental regulations both for sourcing the materials and for running factories. And the up front costs of endless paperwork. So entrepreneurs ran away and patronized China. Incentivizing a country that employs slaves and jeopardizing our national security and health even.
Yes, I know, I had the libertarian dream too “If they are wealthier, they’ll be freer.” It didn’t work that way. In the way of totalitarian regimes only a very few got wealthier. And freedom never came. Worse, they use our money and our dependency on them to interfere in our governance our politics, our ability to be free.
It’s time to stop it. Tariffs might be just what we need to push the rotten and tottering edifice that is China RIGHT over so they stick to their knitting and stop buying our politicians.
At the same time, regulations need cut to the bone, so that industry can come home. We have the know how. We have the unemployed young and middle aged men yearning to make money and with enough inventiveness to take the next step in that automated industry thing.
The future is so bright we should all invest in sunglasses stocks.
BUT on the way there it’s going to hurt. Hurt like a living mother. Hurt more than you’ve ever hurt before.
I trust the team Trump assembled and Trump’s own business expertise to make the impact lighter than it would otherwise be. If he’s not already planning for the recovery and to make it fast, I’ll eat the hat I don’t have.
It’s still going to hurt. So, brace. Don’t engage in irrational exuberance. I’m low key mad because I want to make Christmas gifts and I can’t, because I’m still recovering slow. But…. do Christmas as cheaply as you can. (I know this varies per family.) And lay down food and long term stuff. If you can, put some money by to survive six months to a year of utter hell. And — I can’t believe I’m saying this, since we really don’t use credit unless in a dire emergency — get credit now. equity loans, credit cards, whatever. Get them. Don’t use them, but in a dire pinch it’s best to borrow than to be tossed on the street to live in a refrigerator box. (Save the refrigerator boxes too, though — okay, I’m only half joking. And it’s not funny.)
Most of all know it’s coming, and it’s the result of the last four years. Prep your family with that knowledge too, so the less economically aware don’t decide Trump broke everything.
In the end we win, they lose.
But it’s going to get a little tight in the mean time.
Sursum Corda. Or if you prefer “Ride right through them. They’re demoralized as hell.”
Now, brace and prepare.
























































































































