Supposing our betters (ah) ever let us out of house arrest, and this is not in fact a democrat/green plan to reduce population and bring in the Green New Deal (Yes, it does sound crazy, but you know the saying “When the impossible” (that this virus is really as dangerous as painted) “is eliminated, the implausible must the truth.” things are…. gonna change.
And chill. No I don’t think this is an enviro-weeny plot, but they will be right there along with the happy fun democratic socialists, trying to take advantage of the crisis.
So we too need to know what is coming and be ready to face the wave.
I’ve told you forever that part of the mess around us is because things are changing very rapidly, and humans don’t like that. In our time, the so called progressives — how they can call themselves that without laughing — are the ones most enthusiastically trying to lead us back to the early 20th century, because that was their glory days: unions, mass producing, emphasis on race/class/nationality and a powerful and redistributive state.
This insanity of locking the world’s economies are just another battle in their war against the future. No, I am not saying they created the virus, but boy have they tried to prolong the shut down and the misery.
This is partly because they’re completely ignorant — as in, they’d probably be less ignorant if they’d never learned anything about it, since everything they know about it is things that just ain’t true — of where wealth comes from, and are convinced it’s synonymous with money, and therefore just printing more money will take care of all the actual production lost through this time. It won’t, of course, but on the good side, at the rate inflation is going to hit, we will resolve the toilet paper shortage with dollar bills.
Anyway, here’s the thing: like everything they’ve tried to do, because they really don’t understand people or anything related to people, including how tech influences human society, or that you really can’t put the genii back in the bottle once it escapes, this is going to blow up in their faces biggly (whether they manage to elect a dem-socialist this November with their new, shinny all vote by
fraud mail initiative or not is irrelevant. THAT will just prolongue the pain and make life very interesting for a few years, but the end is the same.)
Making predictions, as I’ve said a number of times, is hard, particularly about the future, but some I can make, and they’re not what the dems ever expected from this. (their understanding of second order effects is…. lacking.)
1- We’re already seeing — sure, not for everyone — a massive turning towards work-from-home.
This was coming, anyway. It’s been coming for 20 years. As with ebooks, people heard about it twenty years ago and had since become convinced it would never happen. But you know, just as indie did with ebooks, this is showing people working from home is not only feasible for a lot of people, but they get more done. Even if this is just 20% of the population who can do this for now (there will be more. I suspect the new “made in America” factories will be largely robotic, and supervisors might be states away, working from home, with perhaps one person nearby to turn off the power/whatever. Telemedicine is accelerating through this. So many other things will go this route overtime, particularly with students learning from home, which they already are.) the reverberations will be HUGE.
So, some of what to expect:
It didn’t surprise me that even introverts aren’t finding this the paradise they expected it to be. Why? Well, because, children, elephants and small dragons, humans are a social ape. Even people like me like to see people. And even a lot of introverts need to see different people every day.
Don’t worry about restaurants. They’ll be fine. People working at home NEED to see people after work.
New tele-workers will — by and large. Some of ya’ll are extreme Odds — move to the middle of nowhere. They will instead move closer to town/city. Which is why I’m not afraid of our investment. Houses in our neighborhood are already mostly work-at-home people, and they’re selling at a fast clip still. Yes, during lock-down. (Not that we have a ton of openings.)
Personally? I think when this settles and the percentage working form home in 20 years or so, is more likely to be around 40%, the preference will go to small towns.
How do you attract people to your small town?
Restaurants are part of it, but consider that families need places to take the kiddlets, too, and —
The reason we live where we do is botanic gardens, the zoo and museums (Though museums have been getting too woke for words.) So, interesting things for kids to do, particularly with more homeschooling, might be a thing that attracts young families. Give some thought to that if you have to restart a business. Craft classes for the whole family? Come in and design and make a whole play? Something like dinner/murder theater but involving everyone.
I think the small cities that cash in will be one with opportunities to meet and greet and get to know your neighbors/create a strong community, without the draw backs of big city life. Though mind you big cities will continue to grow. If they remain stiflingly leftist or not? That’s up to you and your personal associations.
In the end I think they don’t, because the left has counted on the conveyor belt of public education and that was hit hard by Winnie the Flu.
2- One of the side jokes of this time period has been UC insisting I retire from teaching early and offering me increasingly attractive packages.
Look, it’s tempting, except I’ve never worked for them. I have no clue what wires they got crossed. I’m also on faculty emails, and that too is kind of …. mind boggling. But funny. Very funny.
Anyway, note that they’re expecting crashing in enrollment, they’re completely terrified of re-opening in Fall (and will remain so, no matter if this comes to nothing, because they think we’ll get it with another “Wave” in fall, and their own propaganda machine — well, that of their ideological friends — makes it sound like the end of the world.)
I know some states are talking distance only learning next Fall.
It’s insane, but it’s also the acceleration of the inevitable. Bringing the kids home will blunt or put an end to a lot of the indoctrination and insanity.
Indoctrination ONLY works if you take up the kids’ day and expose them only to what you tell them. Even if the kids are learning online from the public school site, and from home only? Yeah. They’re still with parents, who will say things like “no, I don’t think it’s that way. I lived through this. Tell them what they want but this is the truth.”
Fifty percent of kids will get almost no education of any kind, of course. This, weirdly, might make it better than now. Because it’s long been my contention letting the kids waste their time might teach them more than our failing inner city schools. And maybe some of you can find a way to provide a place for kids to be while they learn? And supplement/value add to this?
But again, the kids and the adults will want to socialize after school/work. HUMANS ARE SOCIAL APES. This will probably mean that everywhere, pretty much, neighbors will get to know each other, and a lot of things will become more neighborhood-based.
This isn’t bad. We’re going to see the mass-media lose a lot more power at the end of this tunnel.
3- All of this will lead to more self-sufficiency, and to a linking of effort and outcome. Remember that these are things that don’t favor the left.
Also when models and “scientific expert governance” blow up in their faces, there will be a general souring of their favorite boondoggles. Climate change? yeah, we’ve seen pretty graphics before. Etc. This won’t end well. For them.
Already the money feeding their grifty “foundations” is drying up. It’s going to be very tough come next winter. But that’s just a price to pay for sanity returning.
I’m still wondering what happens when China money dries up, and how many more masks will fall.
4- Illegal border crossings are at an all time low, but that’s just the tip of the iceberg. All border crossings are at an all time low, and somehow I don’t think that will change greatly.
The future is very much one with borders. The EU might limp nominally a few more years or decades, but it’s now functionally dead. People have seen the insularity behind the “open borders” crowd, and the risk for everyone.
This very much spells the end to international socialism. Not national, but that — well, that has to be dealt with. We’re not out of danger, but the internationalist insanity is fading, and with it the culture of the West should return. Or at least sanity should return to it.
Yeah there are large unassimilated populations in every Western country, and vast, not to say painful, insanity left over from indoctrinating the last 3 generations on political correctness.
But the next winter will be hard, and hardship restores sanity like a cold bucket of water restores sobriety. The problem is it will get ugly. Very, very ugly.
Stay with it. Work with it, so we don’t fall into the — leftist — insanity that only genetics count. Work to make sure people understand Fit In or Fuck Off. In America, work to be American. In Europe, I don’t know. Europe was always blood and soil….. it’s going to get massively ugly.
5- Remember the enemy gets a vote.
It’s been obvious the left has already ordered their Hugo Boss uniforms for the new police state for a while now, and it became worse during the shut down.
Don’t let them. Sure, talk and work against unconstitutional restrictions and debasement of individual rights, but above all, ignore them.
There is a vast wave of change about to crash down on the entire world. For a lot of countries this is very, very, very bad. A lot of countries in the third world are going to be in horrible shape, and we’re going to be too busy with our own issues to help.
Yes, there will be wars and millions of lives lost because the first world lost their minds and decided hiding under their beds for fear of a virus was a good idea.
But the world after that is not all bad. One thing we know about the “progressives” is that they can’t deal with change or with being the stick-out individualist.
The rest of us, though? Experts at it.
This is your time. Build under, build over, build around.
Prepare for the tsunami of change to hit. And be not afraid.