There are reasons to be afraid of AI. None of them are inherent to AI, though. They lie at the intersection of AI and human stupidity.
No, you are not at risk of AI going sentient. Would you people stop with that? That’s science FICTION, not reality. AI is like a giant calculator that can absorb everything you feed it, including words and images. But it’s still a giant number-sorter. It’s not going to become our overlord. And those of you who are pushing this are driving my poor priest insane, so please stop it. I don’t like being asked to pray that AI doesn’t become an impious intelligence ruling us, okay? I can hear the Author laughing in the back of my mind when he does that.
No, you are not at risk of AI trying to kill you because it’s jealous of humanity. When Heinlein implied a danger of that sort it was with cyborgs. Kindly look up cyborgs to understand why that would be a risk. There’s a human brain involved.
And no AI is not going to do any of the scary things that “science fiction warned us about” anymore than cloning is going to create someone who looks exactly like you, is your age and can pass. At most — if they iron out the rapid-aging kinks — it can create your baby-identical-twin. I figure it could be great for parents who lose their only (adult) child, say or couples who want to avoid some horrible genetic issue with one of them. But for having your replicant show up at the door wearing identical clothes to what you have on and knowing everything you know? NO. It’s great fiction, but it’s based on Doppleganger legends, not science anything.
“But Sarah, in the future–“
That’s bull with a side of sh*t. The future still has hard biological limiters, like humans aren’t born at age forty. Unless of course you just way “future” when you mean “magic.” Sure, maybe in the far far future, but that hardly matters. If we get to that point there’s other things to worry about. (And there’s the reason most of my books are 4 to 5 hundred years in the future. Sometimes more.)
Guys, let me give you a tiny hint here “Science fiction warned us” really means “Guys and gals who were writing by the rule of cool and trying to make their next month’s rent warned us.” Now, is that scary? Of course not. It’s people writing drama to pay their rent.
Do most of them know what they’re talking about? Well, people like Heinlein did. That’s why he doesn’t have any big insanity like that. But most of my colleagues? Dear Bob (Heinlein.) Remember these are the people who write regencies with exploding carriages and the duchess taking the gig to the supermarket. Stop it, just stop it.
Where AI is dangerous is when people assume the same things the alarmists do but flipped. We’ve already had a spate of suicides, losing your mind from people who think AI is real and their only friend. (This should be spelled fren for the level the reasoning is at.) And who piously believe everything AI tells them. Mind you, no, we can’t legislate against that, and if we try, these people will believe the guy on the corner, the cat, or the I-ching in exactly the same way, leading to similar results. Investing something with “human” and “loves me” and “must follow instructions” is a way humans break. And a lot of humans broke of loneliness and losing their moorings after 2020. Worry about the broken humans not AI. For AI you need only keep repeating “it’s not alive. It’s just a giant, complex calculator.”
Other dangers also come from thinking AI is an independent intelligence and “so smart” and you’re starting to see companies wanting to turn things like…. Air traffic control to it.
Now it’s fine to have AI scan and give alerts, but for the love of Bob (Heinlein) do not give it ultimate decision powers. IT CAN’T THINK. And it makes really strange errors no human would make.
Which leads us to the other part of it: STOP RUNNING AROUND WITH YOUR HEAD ON FIRE SAYING THAT AI WILL STEAL ALL THE JOBS.
The thing to do when your head is on fire is stop, drop, roll. Then put your head under water till the fire goes out or bubbles stop coming up. What? Oh…. see, this idiocy has just got on my nerves so badly.
Look, yeah, AI might take YOUR job. There are some highly specialized fields that AI can do better. I’m aware of them, because one might have been mine, if I’d taken a very clear fork in my life about 34 years ago. Scientific translation can’t be done entirely by AI, but it can be done now well enough that junior translators can do the verification run, and therefore senior — highly paid — translators can be laid off.
This sucks, of course, if it’s your job they come for. And if you are my age or older and tired you might decide it’s all over and retire. But you don’t have to. It just means you have become inviable for a large company to pay you a huge salary. But — hello! — AI means you can set up your own shingle and start your own company and make the same or more, because you, in your house, in pajamas, can have the work of a team of “junior translators” at your fingertips.
I understand it’s more or less the same for programmers and I understand it from my husband who has a degree in math and has been walking the fine line between math and programming for 40 plus years. He knows that AI “junior programmers” can be trusted even less than human junior programmers, but on his own time, with the fifteen or so projects he plays with in the basement (he swears one of them ISN’T a time machine, but I know the conversations I’ve overheard between him and younger son) he uses them a lot, to cut time and effort that he’d have to donkey-carry himself line by line otherwise.
It is not in any way shape or form an ender of work, but a modifier. It makes some things much, much easier, saves a lot of boring, repetitive work, and frees the people who can do more to do more.
Like…. every other major innovation in the history of humanity.
Stop throwing sabots into AI. It’s not here to steal your jobs. It’s here to make sure (metaphorically speaking) cloth is way cheaper, everyone can have more than two sets of clothing, and no one has to work dawn to dusk in dark satanic mills.
Here’s the secret: Humans will find other things to do.
And for that matter, no, it won’t mean people don’t develop skills. Yes, younger people are grossly maleducated, but you don’t get to blame AI for the malfeasance of the NEA and the department of education. (You don’t get to blame the young either. They’re the victims here.)
The truth of it while AI is MAJORLY labor saving, it’s not MAGIC. Humans still need to learn about “the thing” that they want AI to do, so they can stop it making errors, or perhaps fix the errors. Or understand what about your prompt sucks raw eggs.
I was talking to friends about this with Midjourney this morning (which I use specifically for labor saving. Because I can draw images for covers — or clanker movies. sigh — but it would take me MONTHS and I’d rather be writing which pays better for me, anyway). Prompts are…. something you sometimes need to analyze very carefully. If the AI insists on putting a giant beast and your guy in a position like they just met for a snog, it’s probably because something in your front failed to give a hint of what the relationship between these two forms is. Think of the AI as an alien. It doesn’t think that it’s improbable for humans to consort with giant bear-lions. It has all the covers of fantasy romances to scan, after all. So you need to say something like “the giant bear lion he’s hunting” and after the next horror “He wants to shoot.” instead of hunting. And sometimes the AI in alien-fashion associates something with a specific sexual perversion, and then you have to carve out your eyes with a melon baller. The word can be something like “Muscular” or “Barefoot.” And apparently it thinks evening dress means bare breasts. WHY? I don’t know. My guess would be juxtaposition with “lady of the evening.” So prompt crafting is WORK. Even if you’ve trained the AI to YOU and gotten pretty good at it. It has days too. Like the day it refused to believe women existed and I had to give it image prompts until it went “Oh, one of those.” No I don’t know what people had been running on the poor clanker that erased women from its idea of the world. And sometimes it’s like that for a day, then comes back. Right now it doesn’t understand “Super-hero comic style.” Or it didn’t yesterday. Probably will today. But again, you have to work with it, it’s not magic.
And this means it’s creating a whole class of workers, which is someone who can both dissect and rearrange word prompts and work with images to know what works. And be able to fix portions that don’t. One thing midje has done is show me that my friends who say they can’t draw really mean they can’t SEE. Even if it’s obvious an image is horrendous (I sometimes share for funsies) they go “oh, that’s pretty good.” Which probably means…. the percentage of atrocious covers won’t go down. (Let’s face it, they roamed the face of the earth long before AI. And I don’t mean “I don’t like your cover. It’s horrible.” type of art opinion, but OBJECTIVELY atrocious covers. Like you can’t tell what’s happening, or you wish you couldn’t.)
But in everything…. look, I learned to write with a quill pen partly because Portugal is nuts in a very specific way. In the 1960s there was no reason for this.
BUT in general, we learn skills that tech has superseeded, so we can check on the tech or make do if it fails. Now, I think kids should learn to write by hand, even if they’ll spend most of their lives typing. BUT I don’t think we should make them chisel the letters out of rock or write them in clay. They didn’t even do THAT to me.
So AI doesn’t mean kids shouldn’t learn art — most of art is learning to read — or poetry, or music, or definitely writing. (There might be a way to make a clanker write a novel, chapter by chapter, but from using it to write book descriptions (Y’all don’t know HOW BADLY I suck at those, for some reason) it would be torturous and painful. (I mean I need to correct about half the sentences in a couple hundred words, I just can get the “feel” which I can’t do on my own.)
There might in the future be a way to push-button write a novel. Honestly, if he who is known as Speaker to Lab Animals would hurry up with the neural interface, it’s likely to be better. But for the foreseeable future an AI writing a novel without a world-mountain of editing after belongs in the same realm as “A clone, indistinguishable from yourself including knowledge shows up at your door wearing the same clothes you’re wearing.”
I use writing as an example because I KNOW that. But talking to people who do other things affected by AI it seems to be the same everywhere. Sure, you can just “supervise AI” and do the clean up work after. And if that’s what you WANT to do, you do you. I prefer writing the thing, which then needs (relatively speaking) remarkably little clean up. But it’s a horses for courses thing.
For some occupations, right now, like for…. Oh, people who pumped gas in states not as crazy as Oregon, or buggy whip makers, or…. tech will eliminate their occupation, yes.
Just like typists were run out of jobs in the thousands…. and side stepped into “personal assistants” because their bosses still want to dictate emails. (No, no joke. Have seen it.) But also do a lot of other things that go beyond pushing keys.
AI might eat your job. So? Stack your skills into something else. Journalists probably can’t learn to code, no. (It’s a different type of mind, most of the time) but (note journalists are NOT being run out of their jobs by AI but by meretricious behavior of their own.) if they’re halfway good and honest, lots of jobs need investigative skills. And oh, yeah, AI can in fact HELP with that. Also if you bide a while websites will realize they need someone with a pulse and a human brain to check/fix AI content. So half of the idiot stories pushed make some sort of sense. (Of course this is for the rare journalist who cares about reality. I know a few.)
Stop saying AI will take/destroy all jobs. Economics doesn’t work that way. Economics — as a friend reminded me this morning (hi Jeff) exists to mediate infinite human wants with the possible. That means if your job in the realm of the possible is rendered obsolete, you have to look for unserved wants that you can use your skills on. And unless you’re profoundly depressed, you’ll see there are some.
AI isn’t the only reason that people lose jobs, and there’s always a way to work around setbacks. (For inspirational story, go here.) Staying locked in the fetal position screaming won’t help, though. And neither will demanding the government do “something”. You know what the government ALWAYS does. Its only competence is hurting its own people and taking their stuff. If you had government run the Sahara there would be a sand shortage. When you demand the government interfere, you’re more dangerous than AI will ever be.
Yes, sure, you’ll have to change, and learn and grow. But it’s always been like that. No one gets a life where they don’t do that. We just seem to be hit harder both because tech innovation is moving very fast, and because we now live long enough each of us can get to have three or four careers per life.
It’s a good problem to have. It’s a sign life is better.
So stop sulking and imagining AI is lurking under your bed, waiting to pounce. If you gave AI those instructions, it would promptly lurk under your flower bed waiting to ponce. Whatever that is.
Do not attribute magic capacities to the thing. For good or ill. But learn what it actually is. And work with it.