This is a sort of follow-up to Atlas JUGGLED.
I’ve been thinking of a lot of things, partly because I’m buried under stuff and new stuff keeps coming up. For instance, I woke up with the beginning of Bowl of Red in my head – this is very bad, since before I do it I have to do Darkship Revenge and finish Through Fire. The thing is, the novels arrive when they’re supposed to and pay no attention to the fact I’ve been sick and everything is late. Like part of my brain doesn’t talk with the other part.
Which is par for the course, and explains this nagging feeling I have, like I’m the world’s laziest person. Objectively, I roll out of bed and do this blog (Okay, later today, because I was doing… stuff around the house that couldn’t wait.) Then I write fiction as long as the brain holds out. Then I write non fic, then if I have any spoons left, (which is rare) I work on getting stuff ready for publication.
This includes going over old novels that have reverted – right now that is The Magical British Empire, which is printed and waiting line by line re-edit, so I can keep some of the editing I liked, but well, change its slant vis a vis Western civilization a little. This is going to be difficult, and I won’t lie and say all the PC stuff was the fault of the editing. A lot of it was, particularly the way it was emphasized, but a lot of it was my doing from the beginning, because I was working with the old system, I knew an adventure book in exotic locales would only sell with a certain slant, and I wanted to keep publishing, and the kids needed shoes – and clothes.
But now I can do it the way I want to, so it needs to be gone over very carefully. (BTW, the way I want to is not necessarily an absolution of what the Western Powers did in Africa (or other places) King Leopold will never be one of my favorite people. (Though our worst export to developing countries has been Marxism. It links right in with tribalism, and it has made a right mess of those lands.))
So, anyway, those books – approaching goat-gagger size, are printed and waiting line-by-line. I have Musketeer’s Apprentice back and ready to go over edits, to hopefully put up at the end of this week. I’ve finished both the cover and interiors workshop – and truly owe Dean (Smith) a write up on it for PJM – and I need to figure out this “create space thing” at some point. Because the sales on books still available in paper (they are allowed to sell out of stock) and particularly the really old ones, are much slower. My idea is that a paper edition will get them de-linked from the old Berkley editions. We shall see. Time for that is not on the horizon till maybe January, because (always) the books for Baen come first.
Which is a problem, since I’m being attacked by books that are NOT Baen (mysteries, mostly.) And I’ve promised fans of the musketeer mysteries a new one for Christmas, and don’t think I’ll make it.
Oh, yeah, look at that description of my day and consider that into that also fits laundry, the minimal house cleaning required so my allergies don’t kick up (which is not immaculate, but it’s pretty close by today’s standards) dealing with cat, family and own illnesses, doing laundry, and research.
This is not, though it might sound like it, the equivalent of what my grandma (who had no other vices) used to do when I visited. She used to give me a litany of everything she’d done that day. She felt a need to tell you everything she’d done that day, to prove how hard she’d worked.
That is not what I’m doing, but it might be related to why she did it (or why I suspect she did it.)
Before I knew her she used to run a business out of the house, and of course, look after the house, raise the kids (granddad worked abroad for most of her child-rearing years, so she was on her own with three boys and a girl) cook, clean, and look after the little home-farm (it was that, though divided among four or five plots we either owned or “had the right to” cultivate) which provided wine and some fruit, and vegetables, and eggs for the entire family.
When I knew her, she had dropped the business and ‘retired’ into doing everything else.
I think the reason she gave me the laundry list – so to put it – of what she’d done that day was that she always felt like she hadn’t done enough.
Which is how I feel. I feel like the world’s worst slacker, because there’s always stuff I haven’t done (since I was doing other stuff.)
I was talking about this with older son, who is taking more hours in college than a sane person would take, doing Ninja nun, writing two novels, learning Russian, volunteering at the hospital, and keeping up at least a little (not much, this semester) of the house cleaning. Plus driving crazy me to the zoo when I miss the animals (though not this week, because he’s having finals.) He was telling me how lazy he was…
I told him he wasn’t lazy, he was overcommitted, which FEELS lazy from the inside, because you’re never doing as much as you “feel” you should be doing.
But that brings us to something that’s sort of been bothering me at the back of my mind.
I’ve talked before about how we’re going to a world/model where everyone works for himself, though he might be a contractor for a dozen employers.
This is not Obamacare’s fault, though that crappy law is bringing it about much faster than it would otherwise, and therefore bringing us on a collision course with a model most people aren’t prepared for.
And that brings us to something I hadn’t given much thought to. I thought, you know, the transition would be gradual and over twenty years or so. My kids are taking on old enough professions that they’ll mostly have to work on the site of the job (Robert almost for sure, though there’s remote controlled stuff… Marsh… who knows?) but most people their age won’t, I think, have “real jobs” where they have to be on site, and work at one thing only for more than ten or so years of their working lives. (Note, I say most, not all. Like my kids’ wished-for professions, a lot of work has to be done in person – but not the majority, and not for the majority of people.)
And I thought the transition would be better for most people – I still think so. It will free up people from having to live in a particular place, and it will allow most people more time with their families. I think when the transition is completed – and I don’t expect to see that, though stupid laws and all, well… — barbaric institutions like daycare, where you give in your infants to be raised by strangers according to outdated models of education, will be if not a thing of the past, at least things “that happen to other people.” Most people will end up raising their own kids, and that’s a good thing. As is the ability to change careers or do more than one thing, if you feel the need.
All of which is good, but here’s the rub.
There are really slackers. And they’re not necessarily lazy. They’re just people who need to be told what to do and when. (And no, I don’t mean politically. I mean in terms of work.)
When I first started looking at want ads in the US, I came across this expression that puzzled me “Must be self starter.” Dan had to explain it to me.
Well, I don’t feel like a self starter, but I’ve been working as a contractor and ultimately for myself for the last 12 years (counting only the time I’ve been paid) and even though the last five years have been a mess for deadlines, in general I deliver (enough to get paid and make a living) and I’ve started the indie thing on the side, so I guess I am.
But here’s the thing – a lot of people aren’t.
Whenever I talk about a future where people mostly work for themselves, I get people yelling at me that I’m being racist, sexist, (not homophobic yet, but I’m sure it’s coming) and IQist. (Why they lump the first two with the last, I don’t know.) They tell me some people are too… communitarian, or too docile (ah, they don’t know the women I do) or too stupid to work for themselves.
Poppycock on that. Where I grew up most women were EXPECTED to run a business out of the house. Taking a job in a factory was an admission of failure. And most people did run productive businesses out of the home, as well as the duties of a pre-industrial housewife, which always included some small scale farming and fabrication. (Yes, I grew up in a very backward place. Deal.)
Most human beings, throughout most of history have worked for themselves – and done enough to survive. (Well, the ones who left descendants.)
And IQ has nothing to do with it. I know several people who would test very badly in IQ who can do things that I can’t. Lately with the economic crisis, there is one working class neighborhood near us where signs have started appearing on the side of residential houses “Haircuts” and “I repair small appliances” and “call me for your car trouble.” (BTW that’s a discussion for another time, but regulations are tamping down a lot of that, which means they’re making the economic crisis worse. And not all governmental regulations. Neighborhood covenants can be worse.)
And I know several high IQ people who just do what they absolutely have to do and not one step further.
In the industrial age, where you worked under a supervisor and clocked in and out, this might limit their upward mobility: they would never go to a job where they didn’t have someone watching them/making sure they clocked in. BUT they survived. And they could do very well.
But what happens when most jobs – particularly for people who work with their minds – are “make it yourself, from scratch and bits”? What happens when part of your job is creating your job?
What happens to all the people who are not self-starters? They might be gifted, talented, brilliant, but they won’t work unless they have a structure that makes them do so.
And in a world of relative abundance (still) they’re never going to have to come to a situation where they need to work or starve. And even if they do, they might NOT know how.
There is a type of mind that looks at a kitchen with dishes piled everywhere, rolls up its sleeves and goes “I’ll start cleaning here, and stop when it’s all done.” Then there’s a type of mind that looks at it, doesn’t know where to start and becomes paralyzed.
The same applies to the real world, but on stilts, because sometimes what needs to/can be done is not immediately obvious. It takes a type of mind to see it.
What seems to already be happening is that those who are “self starters” are doing three and four jobs, and keep coming up with new ones. The ones who aren’t, are either unemployed or holding on to their one job by their fingernails, and bewildered on what they’d do if it goes away.
These are not lazy people (well, not all of them) they just don’t come up with things to do out of the blue.
We don’t even know how many of them there are. There are probably fewer in the US than elsewhere, simply because we tend to roll up our sleeves and say “let’s get her done.”
But we know, almost for sure, there’s more of them than us. The hundred plus years of the industrial model allowed them to grow and prosper too. People who followed orders well could make a very decent living. Showing up on time and doing what you were told was a survival skill.
There will still be some jobs like that, but not for the majority of people – and Obamacare is hurtling us towards a future where jobs means something completely different (the process started with the temp jobs in the eighties, to be fair. And yes, a lot of it was even then pushed by government regulation.) It means “temporary, contract, task-oriented, to be finished, and then another started up. A lot of my generation has already gone through this, most of our working life, but it’s been “one employer, and then another” not… “I do the job in my own time, at my own pace, to employer specifications, either alone or while doing other jobs, and then I look for another, and another.”
A lot of us, who apparently despite ourselves are “self starters” are going to be doing the Atlas Juggled dance, with more than we can fit into a day. Sometimes we might even be happy with it. (Once the kids are out of the house –? – and my work there diminishes, I should have an easier time, myself.)
But what about all the non-self-starters? A lot of them genuinely won’t do well.
The left is worried about a future that excludes low IQ. I think they are, as usual, full of it. And they flatter themselves that they’re high-iq.
But there are people, IQ not mattering, who simply can’t adapt to a “find your own work, do your won thing, create your own job” world.
The lefts approach to the people they think are too dumb to survive is to create ever more lavish welfare.
Is ours going to be the same? I don’t think it can be. Even with technology, there’s a minimum number of people who need to be working very hard to keep society going. Confiscate their rewards, and you’re going to end up with them breaking early (In my experience Atlas can’t shrug. He doesn’t know how. But he can break. And does) and having to be supported. And even then, even if this weren’t so, there’s a minimum number of producers needed to support the others.
We’re nowhere near it, but this very bad law is hurtling us towards that future.
I don’t have an answer. I don’t know what to do about the people who are not motivated to find their niche in this do-it-yourself world. I don’t think the left’s “give them make work and welfare” works very well even now, and I think it will break down big time as “traditional jobs” become scarcer.
But I don’t know what to do about it.
To pick up on the title of the post, with another song – This could be heaven, or it could be hell. And it will undoubtedly be both at once.
People used to make their own work, their own survival. Those who couldn’t, didn’t survive. Then came a way of earning your living that required you do do as told and do just so much and no more (in a way probably back to the agricultural revolution.) There were greater rewards and greater risks for trying to do it on your own, but it wasn’t mandatory. Then in the twentieth century “jobs” became interchangeable with sinecures provided you did a minimum. And if you didn’t, in the late twentieth century, the state would take care of you.
That was the blue model, which works well enough provided that the producers are more than the takers by some amount (I don’t know how much, though declining life standards could mean we’re already on the down slope.)
The blue model is collapsing, but what comes next?